Insights / kr
000810
삼성화재KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.89%
P05–P95 span
10.31%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+17.35%
Outer 90%
0/8(0%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
8/8(100%)
Below median
0/8(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.97%P25: -2.19%P50: -0.89%P75: 0.65%P95: 4.34%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.