Insights / kr
000810
삼성화재KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.15%
P05–P95 span
12.99%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+17.14%
Outer 90%
1/9(11%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
8/9(89%)
Below median
1/9(11%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.65%P25: -3.64%P50: -1.15%P75: 0.78%P95: 6.34%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.