Insights / kr
000810
삼성화재KR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.91%
P05–P95 span
12.31%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+20.72%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.13%P25: -4.87%P50: -1.91%P75: -0.24%P95: 3.18%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.