Insights / kr
000810
삼성화재KR05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
12.27%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+14.67%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.26%P25: -1.85%P50: 0.00%P75: 2.51%P95: 8.02%
Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.