Insights / kr
000810
삼성화재KR05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.30%
P05–P95 span
14.20%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.82%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.74%P25: -3.27%P50: -0.30%P75: 1.67%P95: 5.47%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.