Insights / kr
000150
두산KR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.18%
P05–P95 span
17.12%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-24.43%
Outer 90%
0/7(0%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
0/7(0%)
Below median
7/7(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.53%P25: -1.52%P50: -0.18%P75: 2.98%P95: 11.59%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.