Insights / kr
000150
두산KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.02%
P05–P95 span
19.81%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-6.08%
Outer 90%
3/8(38%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
4/8(50%)
Below median
4/8(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.64%P25: -2.77%P50: -1.02%P75: 2.07%P95: 13.17%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.