Insights / kr
000150
두산KR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.54%
P05–P95 span
23.90%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-23.36%
Outer 90%
0/6(0%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
0/6(0%)
Below median
6/6(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.43%P25: -1.84%P50: 0.54%P75: 4.05%P95: 17.47%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.