Insights / kr
000150
두산KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.84%
P05–P95 span
11.66%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-5.48%
Outer 90%
1/9(11%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
5/9(56%)
Below median
4/9(44%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.03%P25: -4.70%P50: -1.84%P75: -0.14%P95: 3.63%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.