Insights / us
WTW
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited CompanyUS04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.00%
P05–P95 span
15.51%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.73%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.88%P25: -4.89%P50: -2.00%P75: 0.38%P95: 5.64%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 37.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.