Insights / us
WTW
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited CompanyUS04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.02%
P05–P95 span
19.26%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.61
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.54%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -16.41%P25: -4.84%P50: -1.02%P75: 0.25%P95: 2.85%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 19.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.