Insights / us
STE
STERIS plcUS05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.71%
P05–P95 span
13.01%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.53%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.91%P25: -0.22%P50: 1.71%P75: 4.31%P95: 9.09%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.