Insights / us
STE
STERIS plcUS05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.87%
P05–P95 span
14.07%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.48%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.96%P25: -3.08%P50: -0.87%P75: 0.78%P95: 5.11%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.