SO

The Southern CompanyUS06/09/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.70%
P05–P95 span
15.95%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
-0.36%
Outer 90%
1/1(100%)
Middle 50%
1/1(100%)
Above median
1/1(100%)
Below median
0/1(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.60%P25: -1.04%P50: 1.70%P75: 4.70%P95: 10.35%

Computed at: 06/10/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 17.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.