Insights / us
SO
The Southern CompanyUS06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+4.38%
P05–P95 span
24.82%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+2.06%
Outer 90%
2/2(100%)
Middle 50%
1/2(50%)
Above median
1/2(50%)
Below median
1/2(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.78%P25: 0.74%P50: 4.38%P75: 10.01%P95: 21.04%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.