Insights / us
RL
Ralph Lauren CorporationUS04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.93%
P05–P95 span
11.11%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.72%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.77%P25: -5.32%P50: -2.93%P75: -0.70%P95: 2.34%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 39.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.