Insights / us
RL
Ralph Lauren CorporationUS04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.15%
P05–P95 span
16.98%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.98%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.08%P25: -2.22%P50: 0.15%P75: 2.11%P95: 7.90%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 18.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.