Insights / us
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.US04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.27%
P05–P95 span
15.78%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.23%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.73%P25: -3.03%P50: -0.27%P75: 1.53%P95: 6.05%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 26.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.