Insights / us
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.US04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.19%
P05–P95 span
9.89%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.78%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.86%P25: -3.80%P50: -1.19%P75: 0.41%P95: 3.02%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 20.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.