PYPL

PayPal Holdings, Inc.US06/04/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-1.24%

P05–P95 span

19.41%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.61

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+4

-1.55%

Outer 90%

4/4(100%)

Middle 50%

4/4(100%)

Above median

1/4(25%)

Below median

3/4(75%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -14.18%P25: -6.23%P50: -1.24%P75: 1.17%P95: 5.23%

Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.