Insights / us
PYPL
PayPal Holdings, Inc.US06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.51%
P05–P95 span
18.11%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-5.02%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
0/5(0%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.21%P25: -3.19%P50: -0.51%P75: 1.57%P95: 4.90%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.