PKG

Packaging Corporation of AmericaUS04/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.92%

P05–P95 span

10.18%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.80

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+7.37%

Outer 90%

9/10(90%)

Middle 50%

6/10(60%)

Above median

9/10(90%)

Below median

1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.87%P25: -0.65%P50: 0.92%P75: 3.07%P95: 6.31%

Computed at: 04/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.