PEG

Public Service Enterprise Group IncorporatedUS06/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.19%
P05–P95 span
13.48%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+1.47%
Outer 90%
6/6(100%)
Middle 50%
5/6(83%)
Above median
0/6(0%)
Below median
6/6(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.98%P25: -0.32%P50: 2.19%P75: 4.47%P95: 8.50%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.