Insights / us
PEG
Public Service Enterprise Group IncorporatedUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.53%
P05–P95 span
12.23%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+3.04%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
5/7(71%)
Above median
7/7(100%)
Below median
0/7(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.29%P25: -0.36%P50: 1.53%P75: 3.04%P95: 7.94%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 14.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.