Insights / us
ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.11%
P05–P95 span
14.78%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+4.04%
Outer 90%
1/7(14%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
7/7(100%)
Below median
0/7(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.45%P25: -5.00%P50: -2.11%P75: -0.24%P95: 1.33%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.