Insights / us
ORCL
Oracle CorporationUS05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.21%
P05–P95 span
19.25%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.61
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-20.13%
Outer 90%
5/8(63%)
Middle 50%
1/8(13%)
Above median
2/8(25%)
Below median
6/8(75%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.20%P25: -2.36%P50: 0.21%P75: 2.87%P95: 10.05%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.