Insights / us
ORCL
Oracle CorporationUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.31%
P05–P95 span
12.15%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-11.91%
Outer 90%
4/9(44%)
Middle 50%
2/9(22%)
Above median
6/9(67%)
Below median
3/9(33%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.91%P25: -0.65%P50: 1.31%P75: 3.10%P95: 6.24%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.