Insights / us
NSC
Norfolk Southern CorporationUS05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.75%
P05–P95 span
14.41%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.61%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.20%P25: -3.76%P50: -1.75%P75: 0.33%P95: 5.21%
Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.