Insights / us
NSC
Norfolk Southern CorporationUS05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.07%
P05–P95 span
14.15%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.51%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.10%P25: -0.36%P50: 2.07%P75: 5.19%P95: 11.05%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.