Insights / us
NRG
NRG Energy, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.29%
P05–P95 span
12.19%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-9.05%
Outer 90%
6/9(67%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.58%P25: -1.92%P50: -0.29%P75: 1.27%P95: 4.61%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.