Insights / us
NKE
NIKE, Inc.US05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.02%
P05–P95 span
11.92%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.12%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.11%P25: -1.47%P50: 0.02%P75: 1.52%P95: 4.82%
Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.