Insights / us
NKE
NIKE, Inc.US05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.99%
P05–P95 span
10.06%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.20%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.24%P25: -0.77%P50: 0.99%P75: 2.70%P95: 6.82%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.