Insights / us
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.US06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.26%
P05–P95 span
11.22%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-5.73%
Outer 90%
2/6(33%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
1/6(17%)
Below median
5/6(83%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.68%P25: -2.14%P50: 0.26%P75: 2.73%P95: 6.54%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 20.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.