Insights / us
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.43%
P05–P95 span
17.50%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-5.77%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
2/7(29%)
Below median
5/7(71%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.93%P25: -1.58%P50: 0.43%P75: 2.18%P95: 12.57%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.