Insights / us
MDT
Medtronic plcUS06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.12%
P05–P95 span
15.03%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-2.16%
Outer 90%
4/4(100%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
0/4(0%)
Below median
4/4(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.33%P25: -1.80%P50: 0.12%P75: 2.42%P95: 7.70%
Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.