Insights / us
MDT
Medtronic plcUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.37%
P05–P95 span
9.44%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+0.41%
Outer 90%
5/5(100%)
Middle 50%
3/5(60%)
Above median
4/5(80%)
Below median
1/5(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.64%P25: -1.92%P50: 0.37%P75: 2.31%P95: 4.80%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.