KR

The Kroger Co.US04/15/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.10%
P05–P95 span
8.76%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.89%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.32%P25: -0.37%P50: 1.10%P75: 2.54%P95: 5.44%

Computed at: 04/16/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.