KR

The Kroger Co.US04/14/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.73%
P05–P95 span
8.38%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.60%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -2.89%P25: -0.26%P50: 0.73%P75: 2.15%P95: 5.49%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 30.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.