Insights / us
IQV
IQVIA Holdings Inc.US04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.68%
P05–P95 span
14.91%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+10.77%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.02%P25: 0.93%P50: 2.68%P75: 5.23%P95: 9.89%
Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.