Insights / us
IQV
IQVIA Holdings Inc.US04/22/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.18%
P05–P95 span
19.78%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.93%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.79%P25: -1.29%P50: 0.18%P75: 1.58%P95: 9.99%
Computed at: 04/23/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 18.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.