Insights / us
HD
The Home Depot, Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+3.79%
P05–P95 span
20.60%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+5.96%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
5/7(71%)
Above median
2/7(29%)
Below median
5/7(71%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.14%P25: 0.56%P50: 3.79%P75: 7.25%P95: 13.46%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 37.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.