Insights / us
HD
The Home Depot, Inc.US05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.03%
P05–P95 span
16.56%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+4.23%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
7/8(88%)
Above median
3/8(38%)
Below median
5/8(63%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.24%P25: -1.18%P50: 1.03%P75: 3.89%P95: 10.32%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.