Insights / us
HAL
Halliburton CompanyUS06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.42%
P05–P95 span
16.28%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-3.12%
Outer 90%
4/4(100%)
Middle 50%
3/4(75%)
Above median
0/4(0%)
Below median
4/4(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.26%P25: -6.63%P50: -2.42%P75: 0.07%P95: 3.02%
Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.