Insights / us
HAL
Halliburton CompanyUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.58%
P05–P95 span
14.92%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-2.33%
Outer 90%
5/5(100%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
1/5(20%)
Below median
4/5(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.60%P25: -3.12%P50: -0.58%P75: 1.82%P95: 8.32%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.