Insights / us
GD
General Dynamics CorporationUS04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.01%
P05–P95 span
10.98%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.42%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.00%P25: -4.09%P50: -2.01%P75: -0.35%P95: 2.97%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 35.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.