Insights / us
GD
General Dynamics CorporationUS04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.93%
P05–P95 span
20.65%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.23%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -14.91%P25: -3.13%P50: 0.93%P75: 3.86%P95: 5.74%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 15.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.