Insights / us
FWONK
Liberty Media Corp-Liberty Formula OneUS06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.99%
P05–P95 span
18.17%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+4.07%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
1/7(14%)
Above median
7/7(100%)
Below median
0/7(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.42%P25: -4.83%P50: -0.99%P75: 1.64%P95: 4.75%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.