Insights / us
FWONK
Liberty Media Corp-Liberty Formula OneUS06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.09%
P05–P95 span
28.87%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.42
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+3.12%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
7/8(88%)
Above median
7/8(88%)
Below median
1/8(13%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.53%P25: -2.47%P50: 0.09%P75: 3.83%P95: 18.34%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 37.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.