Insights / us
FSLR
First Solar, Inc.US04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.79%
P05–P95 span
10.86%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.32%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.62%P25: -0.63%P50: 0.79%P75: 2.27%P95: 6.24%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 36.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.