Insights / us
FSLR
First Solar, Inc.US04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.62%
P05–P95 span
11.63%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.54%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.89%P25: -1.34%P50: 0.62%P75: 2.35%P95: 5.74%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 23.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.